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Saturday, December 30, 2017
Monday, December 18, 2017
China and North Korea
I found a curious news article on the South China Morning Post that describes one Shi Yinhong international relations adviser to China's State Council's opinions regarding North Korea.
According to this article, Shi states, “North Korea is a time bomb. We can only delay the explosion, hoping that by delaying it, a time will come to remove the detonator."
This is the first Chinese official I have seen taking the possibility of war on the Korean peninsula seriously.
There was one other detail that I found interesting. In Asian culture there is an idea of "face" that plays an enormous role in cultural interactions both within and between cultures. This article states, "He also said Kim’s failure to meet Chinese envoy Song Tao during his trip to Pyongyang last month was a “humiliation” for China." Meaning that Kim Jong Un effectively degraded the Chinese delegation and in doing so disrespected all of China.
Why Kim Jong Un would do this is beyond madness. China has been one of few allies the North Koreans have had, and disrespecting them in a such a manner is a sure way to ensure that China changes their stance on the North Koreans.
When this is combined with the reckless threats that Kim Jong Un has been making, these realities are finally starting to sink in for the Chinese. The same nuclear weapons that Kim Jong Un threatens to use on the U.S. could very easily be pointed west towards China. Perhaps that will change China's characteristically pacifistic view on North Korea.
A war of China and the U.S. against North Korea would be a very short affair, I suspect. I also think it would be a good thing for nearly everyone except Kim Jong Un and his associates. The U.S. cannot do a war in North Korea alone.
According to this article, Shi states, “North Korea is a time bomb. We can only delay the explosion, hoping that by delaying it, a time will come to remove the detonator."
This is the first Chinese official I have seen taking the possibility of war on the Korean peninsula seriously.
There was one other detail that I found interesting. In Asian culture there is an idea of "face" that plays an enormous role in cultural interactions both within and between cultures. This article states, "He also said Kim’s failure to meet Chinese envoy Song Tao during his trip to Pyongyang last month was a “humiliation” for China." Meaning that Kim Jong Un effectively degraded the Chinese delegation and in doing so disrespected all of China.
Why Kim Jong Un would do this is beyond madness. China has been one of few allies the North Koreans have had, and disrespecting them in a such a manner is a sure way to ensure that China changes their stance on the North Koreans.
When this is combined with the reckless threats that Kim Jong Un has been making, these realities are finally starting to sink in for the Chinese. The same nuclear weapons that Kim Jong Un threatens to use on the U.S. could very easily be pointed west towards China. Perhaps that will change China's characteristically pacifistic view on North Korea.
A war of China and the U.S. against North Korea would be a very short affair, I suspect. I also think it would be a good thing for nearly everyone except Kim Jong Un and his associates. The U.S. cannot do a war in North Korea alone.
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